Don't let anyone tell you that can predict Forex price movement with scientific accuracy, it's a lie. Prices don't move science but you can make money, here's how...
The reason Forex prices are not predictable is obvious, humans decide the price of any currency and you can't predict what they will do with certainty.
There is a big industry selling Forex robots and gurus selling get rich quick systems, telling you that you can predict prices in advance but common sense tells you this cannot be true - why? Because if you could predict price, everyone would know the price in advance and there would be no market. Prices move because you can't predict them, NOT because you can.
You can make money though!
To make profits you have to calculate and trade the odds successfully.
While you cannot predict human nature with certainty, it is constant and never changes. The emotions of greed and fear are always present and these emotions are reflected in high odds, chart patterns that are tradable for profit.
When you trade Forex, you need to trade like a good poker player, who folds or passes by hands that have low odds and then bets when the odds are in their favour. If you do this and have sound money management, you can make a lot of money.
We all want to be perfect and pick market tops and bottoms in advance but it's simply not possible.
To win at Forex, you need to trade the reality of price change only. Prediction is simply hoping or guessing and you will find your predictions (if you try them) are as accurate as your horoscope.
The best Way to Trade is:
Look at a Forex chart and you will see long trends that last for many weeks or months.
Most of these big trends start and continue from new chart highs or lows. You should therefore trade breaks of important support and resistance levels and follow them, as chances are a big trend will develop. You're NOT predicting, you're trading the reality of price change and increasing your odds of success.
Most traders can't trade breakouts because they think they have missed the start of the move and wait for a pullback to get in. It doesn't come and the trader misses the move.
To build a breakout trading system is easy and will always have the opportunity make money, as markets will always trend.
Simple systems work best in Forex trading and we will show you how to put together a simple, long term, forex trading breakout system, in part 2 of this article series.
Trading the odds and trading long term, is the way to make money and you don't need to predict anything!
One of the differences between the stock market and the forex market is the vast trading that occurs on the forex market. The foreign exchange market
(currency, forex, or FX) is where currency trading takes place. It is where banks and other official institutions facilitate the buying and selling of foreign currencies. The forex trading market is a volatile industry. It is also a very lucrative market. However, to be a successful FX trader you need to educate yourself and have a long term plan. The lack of a forex trading strategy will guarantee failure. When starting out as a forex trader it is easy to abandon your plan or lack of a plan. A good forex trading education is a must.
Being well verse in the stock market will assist you with your forex trading. However, to enter into the foreign exchange market it is not necessary to have any prior trading experience. Some basic forex strategy systems are the fundamental analysis and the technical analysis.
Fundamental analysis
The fundamental analysis is performed on historical and present data, but with the goal of making financial forecast. The data used in this analysis is; money policy, government policy and economic indicators. Some examples are GDP, exports and imports. The analysis of this data is for a specific business cycle.
Technical analysis
Forex technical analysis is a security analysis technique that claims the ability to forecast the future direction of prices through the study of past market data, primarily price and volume. In its purest form, technical analysis considers only the actual price and volume behavior of the market or instrument. Technical analysts, sometimes called "chartists", may employ models and trading rules based on price and volume transformations.
Before you dive head first into the forex market open up a demo account. A forex demo account is a simulated account where you get virtual money of $25,000 to $1, 00,000. You get live quotes and bids that are part of real forex trade. Once you have master that are ready to take the plunge into the real thing open up a mini account.
A mini account is a great stepping-stone to the big leagues of FX. It allows you to open up an account where the leverage is higher in comparison to standard accounts. With a mini account you are dealing with mini contracts. You can open up a mini account with $250. When you are ready you can move onto a standard account
The forex market welcomes traders 24 hours a day. Forex market opens on Sunday 5 pm EST (10:00 pm GMT), closes on Friday 5 pm EST (10:00 pm GMT). No matter what region of the world you live in you can trade on the forex. As one market is opening, another countries market is closing. This is the continual method of how the forex market trading occurs. An example of forex trades in the western region of the world is USD/EUR and USD/GBP. An example of a forex trade in the Asian Economic regions or the world is JPY/USD and JPY/GBP.
Technology is a beautiful thing. To be involved in these markets you don't have to be awake for every different time zone. Automated analytical forex software applications allow you trade during the middle of the night while you sleep. There are many, different type of automated forex software applications on the market. Some of the most commonly used applications are forex killer, auto- pilot and forex-funnel to mention a few. These applications are used by; professionals and beginners alike with no experience whatsoever. These applications can assist you with a forex trading strategies.
If you are planning to trade in currency then you should know the different ways of reading the forex chart. Due to this reason you should try to gain the knowledge about reading the charts. If you know this then you would be able to earn huge profits in short duration of time. You would find that the experienced trader would always take the proper training before entering into the market of forex. If you are a learner then you should always start the trade with the nominal amount. You should no invest huge amount at a particular point of time.
If you want to learn the ways of reading the forex chart then you can purchase this software that would provide you required knowledge about the forex market. This software would aid you to keep the track of the money that you invest in this market and it would also keep the track of your time that you spend in this market. This software would help you to keep a track of the amount that you have invested in the firm. This software is handy. If you are interested to become a forex trading pro then you should try to take the maximum use of this software. If you use this software then you chart using this software then you would get the perfect knowledge about the forex trading that is offered by the forex market.
Currency trading market is considered to the largest market in the whole world and it one of the busiest markets. You would have problem of keeping the track of the forex market. You would be able to keep the track of the various trends that are prevailing in the market. if you are using the this software as a tool then you should study the changes that are taking place in the forex market. The knowledge that you have gain would aid you to trade in the market.
If you want to install this software then you need to explore yourself to net. You can use different trends and pattern of the forex chart. You can use the special tools that can be generated in short duration of time. You can use this tool to examine the software that you are using. The forex charts would help the trader to take the decisions about the market in which you are dealing. Forex charting software would provide relief to the people that want to become successful and want to get the deal that they want. There are different methods that can help you to the knowledge that you want to have. This would help you to make the future predictions about the forex market. This would help in charting the different types of software. There are various types of software in the market. You need to select the software as per your needs and requirements. You need to be careful in selecting the software for your deal.
A Few Forex Tips To Help You Achieve Success
You can earn a lot of money through Forex and it in fact only requires that you learn from some tips that will show you how to maximize your profits from dealing in foreign currencies. The simplest Forex tip is to use weekly charts to boost your profitability. This means that you have to take the trouble of checking the weekly charts so as to be able to gain a proper perspective of the currency market.
Such weekly charts are ideal for learning and finding out more about the major trends that are taking place and they will also help you understand the proper support as well as resistance levels as too gains insights about entry points.
Don't Overtrade
Another simple Forex tip is learning to avoid from doing too much trading. It pays to understand that fewer trades you enter into the better are the chances that you can realize a handsome profit. It is more important that you concentrate on getting things right rather than indulging in quantity trading. Smart Forex operators earn money from doing the right things well and avoiding doing the bad things. In fact, the more successful traders earn high amounts of money from doing only limited amount of trades.
A healthy appetite for risk is essential to succeeding with Forex and so you have to learn how and when to take risks which however must be judiciously taken and which should not deteriorate into starting to gamble in the hope that you will make a major killing. At the very least a person that is averse to taking risks must abstain from doing Forex deals.
For those people that do small Forex trades it is not a good idea to branch out because it is in fact necessary that they concentrate and focus on their limited trades instead of trying to expand their dealings without having already tasted success.
You can also succeed with Forex by setting yourself realistic targets. The more realistic you are the better are the chances that you will be able to work hard enough to realize your objectives. You should decide to engage you in Forex and then give your all to succeeding and also keep in mind that your targets are not too farfetched or unrealistic.
With these tips in mind you should get started with Forex and bear in mind also that to be successful you will need to learn how to focus your efforts on the best trades that should be used with best odds of succeeding. Weigh your options and set realistic targets and then do your best to realize a profit.
Forex Signal provider is a professional trader who is dedicated to monitoring the market closely and is able to read the price action and can predict its future move. Based on this prediction, he can confidently generates entry signals and send it to his subscribers.
He apply his technical analysis experience in analyzing the price action on the charts to determine the proper entry price, stop loss price and the take profit price, in order to generate a winning trade with high probability.
What a signal provider do for you?
Most of forex signal providers works mostly on EUR/USD currency pair, this is may because it's the pair which constitutes about 40% of the entire forex market movement alone. Also this pair has the less spread among the other currency pairs, so it's very suitable for scalpers and short term traders (intraday traders).
When a Forex signal provider generates an entry signal and send it to his subscribers, he only send the prices' numbers for entry/stop loss/take profit values. He does not tell any information about his analytical methods which led to these values. So, His service does not add any experience to his subscribers at all, the subscriber trader only have the option to open a trading position based upon this signal or not.
That means that the trader should at least has a reasonable level of experience about technical analysis in order to have the ability to evaluate the provided entry signals himself and take the proper decision, so he uses the provided signal just as complementary information which assist his trading decision.
The common mistake which many novice traders fall in is blindly following the provided entry forex signal without even trying to evaluate it themselves. This make them can't take his responsibility for his trading decision, thus when the trade become a loser he blame the signal provider.
However, the signal provider services are very suitable for those traders who work part time, and do not have the advantage of monitoring the market all the day in order to generate their own signals. In such a case, they utilizes these services just as a timing for entering the market, these signals providers give them the exact time to enter and exit the market without the need to send a lot of time waiting these times in front of the screen.
Final note:
As a trader, you should not relay completely on signal provider service. When you generate your own signals, you combine several trading indicators like trend lines, moving average, stochastic, in order to get a high probable trade signal. Meanwhile, providers might choose to employ just one indicator in order to generate their signals, which may not be 100% accurate. This justifies why you should compare and contrast signals between one another and for the movement of the currency price
I have never heard an forex trading system creator claim that his system can give 100% accurate forex signals. However, this rule seems broken by Forex Ambush 2.0. The developers say they are the first and only service to give 100% accurate forex signals.
The system relies on advanced technology developed by a group of 31 experienced traders, continuously developed until it produced 100% accurate results consistently. As the Forex market fluctuates many times a day, This Forex Signals system sends out entry signals (buy or sell) to its members, either by email or by SMS. These trading signals occurs in real time, as the currency fluctuation.
Do You Really Need Forex Ambush?
You may ask a reasonable question: Why do I need to become a member in Forex Ambush service?. And here's the answer: If you are a beginner forex trader, you may have discovered that you are at a great informational disadvantage to the much larger and institutional traders.
These "big dogs" have invested a lot of time and money in order to understand the various features of forex market and their unusual behavior. They have invaluable know-how that makes forex trading very profitable to them.
As beginners, we suffer from the absence of this advantage. However, by using this foreign signals service, we will be at the same level of the big players. This unique forex signals service uses a highly developed intelligence system to replicate the knowledge and skills of professional traders to our interests. That means you will make the profitable trades that the professionals traders makes.
How Forex Ambush Works:
After you join the program, the system will send you real time alerts via email or SMS. These trading alerts tell you exactly what to buy and any relevant details, such as trailing stops.
Forex Ambush 2.0 works with a 5 pip trailing stop and a 20 pip take profit. If the signal falls between 5 pips and 20 pips, Forex Ambush 2.0 gives a trade signal. If it falls outside of this range, Forex Ambush 2.0 advises you not to trade. Forex Ambush does not use hard stop loss technique.
The automated trailing stop and the take profit will close the trade automatically. The system advises you to never close a trade manually - just leave your Forex software running and your computer on and it will take care the rest of the trading process.
Conclusion:
If you have suffered - like so many forex traders - from repeatedly losing trades and feel every time you open a trading position that the market always moves against you to stop you out!, then you should seriously give Forex Ambush a try. If it's a scam, then you will not lose any thing - except a few dollars, but if it delivered to you what it promised, then you will find it the best investment you have ever made.
1 IGNORANT OF NEWS EVENTS
Most ignorant technical traders often have there trading account badly damaged if not wiped out during news event releases. I therefore recommend that you get familiar with economic calendars even if you do not like trading them.
2 OVER TRADING.
Most ignorant traders often over trade in any of the following ways: opening more positions than they should, not knowing when they have exceeded there trading limits. I recommend trading only one position at a time as a beginner.
3 NO TRADING SYSTEM
One of the worst things that can happen to a trader is to chase after pips or dollars without a proven system. To succeed in trading you need a proven and tested decent trading system.
4 NO TRADING PLAN
A plan gives you the road map to your destination. When you have no plan, you will surely not know when you miss the way.
5 NOT KNOWING WHERE TO PLACE STOP LOSS ORDER And have high probability for profits
It is one thing to place stop loss orders, it is another thing to know where to place them in order to avoid being stopped out before price resumes in your analyzed irend and entry direction.
6 NOT KNOWING HOW TO MONITOR MARGIN ACCOUNT.
If you do not know when your account is running into margin call, certainly you will not know when to cut your losses..
7 NOT KNOWING HOW TO IDENTIFY A TREND AND RIDE WITH IT.
You trading system should be able to identify new market trends and , trend corrections and trend reversal.
8 ALLOWING MAXIMUM DRAW DOWN ON AN ACCOUNT
When your account is drawn down by say 50% in one trade, you should know that it will not take you a profit of 50% to return to your previous balance. It will rather take you 100% profit in your remaining balance before the account was drawn down.
The above 8 mistakes put together can result in a margin call.
One thing that contributes so much to the failure of many in taking lasting profits from the forex market is ignorance about what steps to take when making trading decisions. Let us quickly go over to 5 secrets steps to a profitable forex trading career.
STEP1: learn to plot the charts.
If indeed you truly want to have an enduring forex trading career, there is need for you to learn how to plot charts on all time frames. The type of chart you plot are determined by your trading system and strategy. charts are easier to plot on the metatrader4 trading platform.
STEP2: Understand your set up conditions
These are conditions you need to spot before you enter a trade. This is one area many traders are led astray. A trader has to wait for his or her set up conditions to be met before initiating a trade. Most traders make money and give it all back due to failure or in ability to follow the set up conditions included in there trading system.
STEP3: Know your entry points.
These are price levels which offer high probability entry opportunities with low risk. certain trading tools can be of tremendous help in determining these levels. A good and decent trading system should provide you with these tools.
STEP4: Know and respect using stop loss.
Once you have entered a trade, your first aim should be to protect your account. To do these you need to place stop loss order. Please ignore any trading system that encourages you to trade without stop loss order. A decent system should guide you on the best level to place your stop loss with higher probability of winning the trade, you might also choose to use trailing stop to protect your profit. Trailing stop helps to adjust your stop loss order if the trade is moving in your favour.
STEP 5: know your take profit.
As soon as your trading system generates signal, it should be able to give you the profit potentials of the trade. Please note that guess work is not allowed in trading. Guessing can be very dangerous to any trader. You need to run thorough analysis before accepting take any trade with high probability.
Remember you do not need a perfect trading system to be a successful trader. Adhere to these rules and the trade will be in your favour most of the times. Visit www.forexandoil.blogspot.com for free forex trading signals and education. plus how $5100 was turned to $40,000 without lifting a finger
Most FOREX traders rely on analysis to make plan their trading strategy. This article will discuss fundamental analysis. The other common form of analysis is technical analysis. After reading this article you should have a better understanding of fundamental analysis and how to use it as part of your FOREX strategy.
Political and economic changes are the basis of fundamental analysis. These can frequently affect currency prices. Traders that take advantage of fundamental analysis will gather their information from a variety of news sources. They are looking for information about unemployment forecasts, political ideologies, economic policies, inflation and growth rates.
Fundamental analysis will provide you with an overview of currency movements and a broad picture of the economic conditions. Most traders then will combine their fundamental analysis with technical analysis to plot actual entrance and exit points as well as confirming the information provided by their fundamental analysis.
Just like most markets the FOREX market is controlled by supply and demand. Many economic factors can affect the supply and demand but the two most critical ones are interest rates and the strength of the economy. The over all strength of the economy is affected by changes in the GDP, trade balances and the amount of foreign investment.
There are many economic indicators released by government and academic sources. These indicators are usually released on a monthly basis but will sometimes be released weekly. These are pretty reliable measures of economic health and are closely followed by all traders.
There are many indicators that are released but some of the most important and commonly followed are : interest rates, international trade, CPI, durable goods orders, PPI, PMI and retail orders.
Interest Rates - can cause a currency to either strengthen or weaken depending on the direction of movement. In some cases high interest rates will attract foreign money, however high interest rates will frequently cause stock market investors to sell of their portfolios. They do this believing that the higher cost of borrowing money will adversely affect many companies. If enough investors sell of their holdings in can cause a downturn in the market and negatively affect the economy.
Which of these two affects will take place depends on many complex factors, but there is usually an agreement among economic observers as to how the current change in interest rates will affect the general economy and the price of the currency.
International Trade - If there is a trade deficit (more items imported than exported) it is usually considered a negative indicator. When there is a trade deficit it means that more money is leaving the country to buy foreign goods than is entering the country and this can have a devaluing effect on the currency. Usually though trade imbalances are already factored into the market consideration. If a country normally operates with a trade deficit then there should not be an affect on the currency price. The currency price will normally only be effected by trade differences when the deficit is greater than the market expected.
The measurement of the cost of living (CPI) and the cost of producing goods (PPI) are a couple of other important indicators. You should also watch the GDP which measures the value of all the goods produced in a country and the M2 Money Supply which measures the total amount of currency for a country.
In the US alone there are 28 major indicators, these can have a strong effect on the financial market and should be closely watched. This information can be found many places on the internet and is provided by many brokers.
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